The Great Leap Forward: Anatomy of a Central Planning Disaster

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The Great Leap Forward: Anatomy of a Central Planning Disaster
I. Introduction
II. Development Strategy and Rural Institutions
Table 1. Aggregate Grain Output and Agricultural Inputs in China, 1952–77
III. The Model
IV. Data and Hypotheses
Table 2. Provincial Averages of Grain Output and Agricultural Inputs, 1952–77
Table 3. Provincial Averages of Policy and Weather Variables, 1952–77
V. Empirical Specification
Table 4. F-Statistics from ANOVA Tests
VI. Empirical Findings
Table 5. Estimation of Grain Production Function in China, 1952–77
Table 6 Sensitivity Analysis Dependent Variable: ln (Grain Output)
Table 7. Contribution of Explanatory Variables to the GLF Grain Output Collapse and the Post-GLF Recovery
VII. Conclusion
Appendix A Description of the Survey and Data
Appendix B Choice of Model Parameters
Appendix C Method for Estimating Factor Contributions
References
Source, notes...